Probability of Rajasthan Royals making it to the playoffs in IPL - 2013

If you are following the IPL, you must be aware that there is a very tight race to finish for the 3 playoff berths on the offing. While CSK are pretty much there-  RCB,RR,SRH and MI are slugging it out among themselves.

Now there are 8 matches remaining which involve one of the top 5 teams mentioned above. Assuming that all the matches have equal probability of being won by either team, here are each team's chances of making it to the last 4.

Here are the upcoming matches :

kkr+rcb
rr+csk
mi+srh
rcb+kxip
csk+dd
mi+rr
srh+rr
kxip+mi
rcb+csk
srh+kkr

Team	Sure Shot	No way	Stuck at NRR
CSK	96.2%	0%	3.8%
RR	79.7%	4.8%	15.5%
MI	79.7%	4.8%	15.5%
RCB	43%	22.7%	34.4%
SRH	42.2%	26.8%	31.1%

So, at the moment it looks like - it's SRH which is going to lose out.

Here is the php script to generate the above numbers.