Much is being said about AAP - and to be honest I would vote for AAP whenever possible. But my doubts remain about whether it will be able to remain corruption free. From what I understand - there are some people who have some source of income and work part time for AAP. But no party can survive on part timers alone. So, there must be many volunteers who work full time for AAP. How will those full timers make money? Or how are they making money now? If they have no means of earning money - how long will they be non corrupt?
Sunday, May 26, 2013
Sunday, May 12, 2013
Probability of Rajasthan Royals making it to the playoffs in IPL - 2013
If you are following the IPL, you must be aware that there is a very tight race to finish for the 3 playoff berths on the offing. While CSK are pretty much there- RCB,RR,SRH and MI are slugging it out among themselves.
Now there are 8 matches remaining which involve one of the top 5 teams mentioned above. Assuming that all the matches have equal probability of being won by either team, here are each team's chances of making it to the last 4.
Here are the upcoming matches :
kkr+rcb
rr+csk
mi+srh
rcb+kxip
csk+dd
mi+rr
srh+rr
kxip+mi
rcb+csk
srh+kkr
So, at the moment it looks like - it's SRH which is going to lose out.
Here is the php script to generate the above numbers.
Now there are 8 matches remaining which involve one of the top 5 teams mentioned above. Assuming that all the matches have equal probability of being won by either team, here are each team's chances of making it to the last 4.
Here are the upcoming matches :
kkr+rcb
rr+csk
mi+srh
rcb+kxip
csk+dd
mi+rr
srh+rr
kxip+mi
rcb+csk
srh+kkr
Team | Sure Shot | No way | Stuck at NRR |
---|---|---|---|
CSK | 96.2% | 0% | 3.8% |
RR | 79.7% | 4.8% | 15.5% |
MI | 79.7% | 4.8% | 15.5% |
RCB | 43% | 22.7% | 34.4% |
SRH | 42.2% | 26.8% | 31.1% |
So, at the moment it looks like - it's SRH which is going to lose out.
Here is the php script to generate the above numbers.
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